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If Biden does fall apart, Buttigieg or Bloomberg become the next logical centrist prized horse. The issue here is that both Buttigieg and Bloomberg poll fucking HOOORRRRIBLE among minorities. It’s why neither of them are realistic candidates. If Biden were to drop out of the race, yes, a ton of white centrist democrats would shift to Bloomberg or Buttigieg. But the majority of that minority vote would go to Bernie, which would basically give him enough momentum to likely sweep the nomination.
In Iowa alone, Sanders got 43% of the non-white caucus vote. Cat They Are Not Cats They’re My Furry Children Shirt! Which could be a signal that Sanders has more support among minorities than originally anticipated, we’ll have to see how that number looks coming out of NH and NV. Because the assumptions been based on polling that non-white voters would flock to Biden. If that polling is incorrect, Sanders could sweep even without Biden falling apart.